Introduction to Methods of Modelling Information Wars as a 21st Century Threat

Tomasz Zawadzki; Tomasz Wałęcki; Halina Świeboda; Ryszard Szpyra; Mateusz Kuczabski; Paweł Stobiecki

doi:10.35808/ersj/1922

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Title

Introduction to Methods of Modelling Information Wars as a 21st Century Threat

Authors

Tomasz Zawadzki (WBN) ^{[ 1 ][ 6.3 ][ P ]}
Tomasz Wałęcki
Halina Świeboda (WBN) ^{[ 1 ][ 6.3 ][ P ]}
Ryszard Szpyra (WBN) ^{[ 1 ][ 6.3 ][ P ]}
Mateusz Kuczabski (WBN) ^{[ 2 ][ 6.3 ][ P ]}
Paweł Stobiecki (WBN) ^{[ 1 ][ 6.3 ][ P ]}

^{[ 1 ]} Instytut Studiów Strategicznych, Wydział Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego, Akademia Sztuki Wojennej | ^{[ 2 ]} Instytut Podstaw Bezpieczeństwa, Wydział Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego, Akademia Sztuki Wojennej | ^{[ P ]} employee

Scientific discipline (Law 2.0)

[6.3] Security studies

Year of publication

2020

Published in

European Research Studies Journal

Journal year: 2020 | Journal volume: Volume XXIII | Journal number: Special Issue 2

Article type

scientific article

Publication language

english

Keywords

EN

Battlefield
Deepfake
Information attack
Information operations
Information warfare
Information warfare means and equipment
Mass media

PL

Atak informacyjny
Badania naukowe
Dezinformacja
Działania informacyjne
Modele matematyczne
Pole walki
Symulacja
Środki masowego przekazu
Środki i urządzenia walki informacyjnej
Walka informacyjna

Abstract

EN Purpose: Using System Dynamics approach together with Lanchester and SIR models for modeling information war. Theoretical considerations. Approach: Due to the theoretical form of conducted research the main research methodso were a literature review and simulations based on developed model. Conclusions: The result of the research is the model of information war based on System Dynamics approach. The model focuses on how socjety wealth and counterdisinformation campaings affect on war efficiency. One of the key conclusion from the simulations results is that one of the main goals of attacking side should be elimination or taking control over public media of attacked one. Practical implications: The model of information war which was developed during the researche, gives a possibility to get new knowledge about war information procesess. It allows to predict causes and effects of disinformation campaings and helps to make proper decisions connected with countermeasuers that are taken. Presented article appoints directions which needs to be explored in connection with information wars. Orginality: Presented researches are pioneerign and in such form on this field was not conducted so far. Using Lanchester equations, connected with epidemic spread model and System Dynamics approach they provide new knowledge about the phenomenon of information war.

Date of online publication

2020

Pages (from - to)

1011 - 1026

DOI

10.35808/ersj/1922

URL

https://www.ersj.eu/journal/1922

Comments

JEL classification : C53, C63. Bibliografia, netografia na stronach 1025-1026.

License type

CC BY (attribution alone)