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Artykuł

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Tytuł

Hellenic airspace violations: An updating note

Autorzy

[ 1 ] Department of Science and Mathematics, The American College of Greece, 6, Gravias street GR-153 42, Aghia Paraskevi, Athens, Greece | [ 2 ] Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, The American College of Greece, 6, Gravias street GR-153 42, Aghia Paraskevi, Athens, Greece

Rok publikacji

2025

Opublikowano w

Security and Defence Quarterly

Rocznik: 2025 | Numer: Online first

Typ artykułu

artykuł naukowy

Język publikacji

angielski

Słowa kluczowe
EN
  • Greece
  • Turkey
  • Emigration
PL
  • Emigracja
  • Grecja
  • Turcja
Streszczenie

EN This is a note to update an earlier published paper, which focused on forecasting Hellenic flight information region violations by Turkish aircraft. The update became necessary following certain geopolitical and economic developments in the Mediterranean, mainly the Athens Agreement. The least-squares best fit model for the 2009–2019 data set for Hellenic airspace violations was used, accompanied by additional ordinary least squares estimates and forecasts. We showed that the pattern of pressure on the Hellenic sovereignty described in the above-mentioned paper is now different in terms of the methods exercised; it is also cheaper. However, it is equally, if not more, effective. We interpret this shift by arguing that Turkey is a Political Realism follower, focusing on the importance of power, security, and national interest in shaping its actions, regardless of the ideological or ethical implications of such actions. This explains its preference for exerting pressure in the form of sea border violations and massive forced emigration from Turkey to the European Union via Greece. This note concludes that the pattern of pressure on the Hellenic sovereignty in the Aegean involving Hellenic airspace violations by Turkish aircraft has been modified. Turkey now prefers cheaper but equally effective methods, such as sea border violations and, in most cases, hybrid warfare tactics, like massive forced emigration.

Data udostępnienia online

22.04.2025

DOI

10.35467/sdq/199780

URL

https://securityanddefence.pl/Hellenic-airspace-violations-An-updating-note,199780,0,2.html

Uwagi

Corresponding author George Andrew Zombanakis Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, The American College of Greece, 6, Gravias street GR-153 42, Aghia Paraskevi, Athens, Greece. These authors had equal contribution to this work

Typ licencji

CC BY (uznanie autorstwa)

Tryb otwartego dostępu

otwarte czasopismo

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Data udostępnienia

22.04.2025

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