Title
Współcześni „właściciele środków definicji ryzyka” – rola ekspertów w szacowaniu i definiowaniu ryzyka na przykładzie wojny w Ukrainie
Authors
[ 1 ] Wydział Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego, Akademia Sztuki Wojennej | [ P ] employee
Scientific discipline (Law 2.0)
Title variant
EN Contemporary ‘owners of risk definition measures’: The role of experts in risk assessment and definition based on the example of the war in Ukraine
Year of publication
2023
Published in
Article type
scientific article
Publication language
polish
Keywords
PL
- Agresja rosyjska na Ukrainę (2022)
- Eksperci
- Komentatorzy polityczni
- Media i komunikacja społeczna
- Prognozy polityczne
- Ryzyko
- Wiedza
Abstract
EN This article refers to Ulrich Beck’s concept describing key social actors in postmodern societies as ‘owners of risk definition measures’. In her analysis of expert opinions on the war in Ukraine (the situation on the frontline, possible extension of the conflict to other countries, potential scenarios for the warfare and the end of the war, the use of nuclear weapons by Russia), the author shows risk assessments, explanations and predictions related to the war. Discussing areas where experts agreed or disagreed in their opinions, she seeks to answer the question about the role of experts, the use of their expertise in the ongoing war and its impact on public opinion. In her article she points out challenges faced by experts in this dynamically evolving situation and under pressure from the mass media demanding a clear, concise and unequivocal communication. Rather than caused by insufficient knowledge or lack of experience, the discrepancies in the analysed expert opinions and assessments seem to result from excessive expectations regarding predictions and forecasts unsubstantiated by expert knowledge.
Pages (from - to)
20 - 33
Ministry points / journal
70
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