Processing may take a few seconds...



Seasonality in Air Traffic and Incidence of Dangerous Occurrences in the Polish Air Transport Market in 2010-2017


[ 1 ] Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, Department of Aviation Transport | [ 2 ] Instytut Zarządzania, Wydział Zarządzania i Dowodzenia, Akademia Sztuki Wojennej | [ 3 ] Polish Air Navigation Services Agency | [ 4 ] WSB University, Faculty of Applied Sciences, Departament of Security Studies | [ P ] employee

Scientific discipline (Law 2.0)

[5.6] Management and quality studies

Year of publication


Published in

European Research Studies Journal

Journal year: 2021 | Journal volume: vol. XXIV | Journal number: Special Issue 4

Article type

scientific article

Publication language


  • Aeronautics, Commercial
  • Air accidents
  • Air traffic
  • Crisis situation
  • Seasonality
  • Operacje powietrzne
  • Sezonowość
  • Sytuacja kryzysowa
  • Transport lotniczy
  • Wypadki lotnicze

EN Abstract: Purpose: The aim of the research was to identify the relation between flight operations conducted in the summer and winter seasons, and dangerous occurrences which took place then. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research involved the indicator method used in time series analysis. The interdependence between the quantitative variables was determined with the use of the Pearson line correlation coefficient. Statistical data for the analyses was obtained from the European Coordination Centre for Accident and Incident Reporting Systems (ECCAIRS) and the Polish Civil Aviation Authority. Results: Relations were identified between the variables of the number of passengers carried, the number of flight operations conducted, adverse aviation occurrences in 2010-2017, and the winter and summer seasons of the year. The results indicate that these variables are interrelated. Practical implications: The approach employed in analysing the relation between the variables concerned can be applied to processes of pro-active civil aviation safety management. Originality/value: The approach to analysing the variables shown in the paper has not been widely presented in the literature to date.

Date of online publication


Pages (from - to)

87 - 97




License type

CC BY (attribution alone)

Open Access Mode

open journal

Open Access Text Version

final published version

Release date


Date of Open Access to the publication

at the time of publication

Points of MNiSW / journal


Points of MNiSW / journal in years 2017-2021