Seasonality in Air Traffic and Incidence of Dangerous Occurrences in the Polish Air Transport Market in 2010-2017

Jarosław Kozuba; Stanisław Sirko; Bartłomiej Czerkowski; Robert Wieszała; Ryszard Szynowski

doi:10.35808/ersj/2584

War Studies Academy

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Title

Seasonality in Air Traffic and Incidence of Dangerous Occurrences in the Polish Air Transport Market in 2010-2017

Authors

Jarosław Kozuba ^{[ 1 ]}
Stanisław Sirko (WZiD) ^{[ 2 ][ 6.6 ][ P ]}
Bartłomiej Czerkowski ^{[ 3 ]}
Robert Wieszała ^{[ 1 ]}
Ryszard Szynowski ^{[ 4 ]}

^{[ 1 ]} Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, Department of Aviation Transport | ^{[ 2 ]} Instytut Zarządzania, Wydział Zarządzania i Dowodzenia, Akademia Sztuki Wojennej | ^{[ 3 ]} Polish Air Navigation Services Agency | ^{[ 4 ]} WSB University, Faculty of Applied Sciences, Departament of Security Studies | ^{[ P ]} employee

Scientific discipline (Law 2.0)

[6.6] Management and quality studies

Year of publication

2021

Published in

European Research Studies Journal

Journal year: 2021 | Journal volume: vol. XXIV | Journal number: Special Issue 4

Article type

scientific article

Publication language

english

Keywords

EN

Aeronautics, Commercial
Air accidents
Air traffic
Crisis situation
Seasonality

PL

Operacje powietrzne
Sezonowość
Sytuacja kryzysowa
Transport lotniczy
Wypadki lotnicze

Abstract

EN Abstract: Purpose: The aim of the research was to identify the relation between flight operations conducted in the summer and winter seasons, and dangerous occurrences which took place then. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research involved the indicator method used in time series analysis. The interdependence between the quantitative variables was determined with the use of the Pearson line correlation coefficient. Statistical data for the analyses was obtained from the European Coordination Centre for Accident and Incident Reporting Systems (ECCAIRS) and the Polish Civil Aviation Authority. Results: Relations were identified between the variables of the number of passengers carried, the number of flight operations conducted, adverse aviation occurrences in 2010-2017, and the winter and summer seasons of the year. The results indicate that these variables are interrelated. Practical implications: The approach employed in analysing the relation between the variables concerned can be applied to processes of pro-active civil aviation safety management. Originality/value: The approach to analysing the variables shown in the paper has not been widely presented in the literature to date.

Date of online publication

30.11.2021

Pages (from - to)

87 - 97

DOI

10.35808/ersj/2584

URL

https://www.ersj.eu/journal/2584

License type

CC BY (attribution alone)

Open Access Mode

open journal