2025

Security and Defence Quarterly

Journal year: 2025 | Journal volume: vol. 51 | Journal number: no. 3

scientific article

english

EN The last decade has seen the most cases of political instability and internal security incidents among all the decades of the 20th and 21st centuries so far. This fact alone indicates a necessity to address the factors contributing to the phenomenon in a way prospectively usable in decision and policy-making procedures. An analysis methodology taking into consideration the factors contributing to such cases would be a valuable tool to achieve the above necessity. Consequently, the objective of this research is to specify these factors. The methodology used to determine these factors involves a case study of historical cases of internal state unrest and instability. Fifteen cases were selected for analysis at random, based on the data obtained from the Uppsala Conflict Data Programme. The cases selected were analysed based on the parties involved in the conflict, the conflict’s historical and political contexts, factors contributing to its occurrence according to relevant bibliography, actions taken by the rival groups, potential external involvement in the conflict, and other points of interest relevant to the study. The factors determined include the social entity’s relative size, denial of rights, information flow, geography, leadership, means of projecting power, environmental conditions, repression/freedom of action, and triggering event. The above factors were cross-referenced with different theories relevant to the subject under examination.

130 - 149

10.35467/sdq/207135

https://securityanddefence.pl/Theoretical-foundation-of-a-proposed-methodology-and-analysis-framework-for-political,207135,0,2.html

Corresponding author Zisis Kyrgos HELISS, Hellenic Institute of Strategic Studies, 28th October 88, 10434, Athens, Greece

CC BY (attribution alone)

open journal

final published version

19.08.2025

Download file

public

70